2026 Research Programme

Testing LLM reliability in corporate credit decisioning.

Capital Benchmark has built an executable research platform to test whether general-purpose LLMs can reason through structured credit policy, challenging edge cases and final decision aggregation with the reliability required in a bank-controlled process.

Independent research · Executable benchmarks · Capability transfer
Two-minute explainer

How the Capital Benchmark research works.

A short walkthrough of the benchmark methodology, headline results, research-led capability-transfer model and the next phase of bank participation.

Capital Benchmark · LLMs in Credit Decisioning · 2026 Research Programme
What we found

Model choice and implementation architecture matter.

The research separates fluent memo writing from the harder operational question: whether a model applies the supplied policy correctly and reaches the right final decision.

45–100%

Wide dispersion in decision accuracy

The four tested configurations produced materially different final-decision accuracy on the same controlled task.

93.7%

Rule accuracy can hide decision failure

Across the 640-memo V2 benchmark, granular policy accuracy materially exceeded aggregate decision accuracy.

100%

Scale result for the selected configuration

GPT-5 retained perfect observed decision accuracy across 1,000 additional public-company obligors.

Business model

Research agenda in, capability transferred out.

Capital Benchmark's operating model is designed to keep research open, independent and actionable. We use a public testing environment to convert a research agenda into a working reference implementation before transferring code, methods and test assets into a bank-controlled environment.

1
Research agendaWe define the questions that matter to credit-risk teams: policy edge cases, model-provider comparisons, architecture choices and operational controls.
2
Public / open testing environmentWe test sample obligor data, policy manuals and LLM configurations in a non-client environment so results can be challenged and discussed without requiring confidential bank data.
3
Capability transfer to banksOnce the reference approach is validated, we transfer code and test data into bank-specific pilots so internal teams can adapt the framework to their own policies, ratings and systems.
Capital Benchmark business model showing research agenda flowing into a public testing environment and then capability transfer to banks.
Method

Evidence first, implementation second.

We use a structured test harness rather than anecdotal prompts. The benchmark combines a common obligor dataset, generated facility requests, an explicit policy manual and a deterministic ground-truth engine.

Capital Benchmark methodology showing obligor data and facility context, LLM memo generation, and structured scoring and comparison.

The result is an evidence base that can support research, dialogue with credit teams and later institution-specific pilots.